The Role of Housing-Dominated Attributes in Housing Booms: Evidence from China

Authors

  • Philip Arestis University of Cambridge, UK
  • Mianshan Lai China Center for Special Economic Zone Research, Shenzhen University, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2298/PAN230420009A

Keywords:

Housing attribute , Money supply , Housing prices , Structural breakpoint analysis

Abstract

This paper investigates the dominant attribute of housing in China for the period 2000 to 2017 with national monthly data. By employing VAR methodology and Chow test, the empirical results suggest that there is a statistically significant structural breakpoint in February 2009, and that the housing boom before 2009 was driven by self-occupation consumption demand while the rise in house prices since 2009 is a monetary phenomenon. These are consistent with the institutional backgrounds, when the first period encountered the end of housing as a welfare and rapid urbanization and the second period experienced the expansionary monetary policy introduced at the end of 2008. This implies that housing is gradually evolving from a necessity to a financial item, and policymakers should adopt policies that address the dominant attributes of housing at different periods. 

JEL: B41, C13, C22, R21, R29.

 

 

 

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Author Biographies

Philip Arestis, University of Cambridge, UK

 

 

Mianshan Lai, China Center for Special Economic Zone Research, Shenzhen University, China

 

 

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Published

2023-04-24

How to Cite

Arestis, P., & Lai, M. (2023). The Role of Housing-Dominated Attributes in Housing Booms: Evidence from China. Panoeconomicus, 1–36. https://doi.org/10.2298/PAN230420009A

Issue

Section

Original scientific paper

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